Grammy Predictions: Who should win and who will win

While you may be tuning into the Grammy Awards telecast for performances from Frank Ocean, The Black Keys, Jack White, Fun. and tons more, the Grammys exist to hand out awards.

The National Academy of Recording Arts and Sciences will give out awards in 81 categories — from song of the year to best improvised jazz solo — even though less than a dozen categories will be presented on TV on Sunday night.

I went through 20 of the biggest categories and picked who will win in each, including record of the year and album of the year. (And I’m explaining the difference between the two.)

And because I don’t entirely trust the academy voters, I also took a look at who should win in each category.

(Be sure to check back tomorrow for a live chat during the Grammy Awards telecast.)

In past years, I’ve averaged about 50 percent, but last year I hit 70 percent correct predictions. I think I may even do better this time around.

Check out my predictions after the jump.

Collections of songs are often referred to as albums or records, so naming two Grammy Awards categories “Album of the Year” and “Record of the Year” is naturally confusing. Give us a second and we’ll explain:
• ALBUM OF THE YEAR — This award goes to the artist and/or producer of the best album.
• RECORD OF THE YEAR — It’s awarded to the performer and/or producer of the best individual song recording.
• SONG OF THE YEAR — Also for an individual song, this is awarded to the best songwriter, who may not necessarily be the performer.
For example, Kelly Clarkson is nominated for her recording of “Record of the Year” for “Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You).” Four songwriters (none of which are Clarkson) are nominated for writing “Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)” for “Song of the Year.”

RECORD OF THE YEAR
» “Lonely Boy” by The Black Keys
» “Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)” by Kelly Clarkson
» “We Are Young” by Fun. featuring Janelle Monae
» “Somebody That I Used to Know” by Gotye featuring Kimbra
» “Thinkin Bout You” by Frank Ocean
» “We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together” by Taylor Swift
Who should win: Fun. put together an amazing recording (even though I got sick of it) and Gotye’s was fantastic, too (even though I got sick of it). Both are so well-crafted and incredibly catchy.
Who will win: Gotye. It’s such a good song.

ALBUM OF THE YEAR
» “El Camino” by The Black Keys
» “Some Nights” by Fun.
» “Babel” by Mumford & Sons
» “Channel Orange” by Frank Ocean
» “Blunderbuss” by Jack White
Who should win: Jack White. His album rocked and had some soulful moments, and it was pretty much perfect.
Who will win: Mumford & Sons. Or maybe The Black Keys. A lot of people are going to say Frank Ocean, but even though he topped a lot of “best of the year” lists, those other two are Recording Academy favorites.

SONG OF THE YEAR
» “The A Team” by Ed Sheeran
» “Adorn” by Miguel
» “Call Me Maybe” by Carly Rae Jepsen, Tavish Crowe, Josh Ramsay
» “Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)” sung by Kelly Clarkson; song by Jorgen Elofsson, David Gamson, Greg Kurstin, Ali Tamposi
» “We Are Young” by Fun.
Who should win: “Call Me Maybe” is one of the best pop songs written in a while.
Who will win: “We Are Young.” They have all the buzz and a pretty good song, too.

BEST NEW ARTIST
» Alabama Shakes
» Fun.
» Hunter Hayes
» The Lumineers
» Frank Ocean
Who should win: Frank Ocean. The R&B singer has turned a lot of heads. I’m also partial to The Lumineers and Alabama Shakes, but I don’t think any of them have the votes.
Who will win: Fun. They’re going to win other awards, so Best New Artist should be a lock. Hunter Hayes could be a sleeper.

BEST ROCK PERFORMANCE
» “Hold On” by Alabama Shakes
» “Lonely Boy” by The Black Keys
» “Charlie Brown” by Coldplay
» “I Will Wait” by Mumford & Sons
» “We Take Care of Our Own” by Bruce Springsteen
Who should win: “We Take Care of Our Own” by Bruce Springsteen was one of the best songs released last year: It rocked and had some weight in its lyrics.
Who will win: “Lonely Boy” by The Black Keys

BEST HARD ROCK/METAL PERFORMANCE
“I’m Alive” by Anthrax
“Love Bites (So Do I)” by Halestorm
“Blood Brothers” by Iron Maiden
“No Reflection” by Marilyn Manson
“Whose Life (Is It Anyways?)” by Megadeth
Who should win: Anthrax. Anthrax rocks.
Who will win: Megadeth. Megadeth also rocks.

BEST ROCK SONG
» “Freedom At 21” by Jack White
» “I Will Wait” by Mumford & Sons
» “Lonely Boy” by The Black Keys, Danger Mouse
» “Madness” by Muse
» “We Take Care of Our Own” by Bruce Springsteen
Who should win: “We Take Care of Our Own” showcases some great writing.
Who will win: Springsteen will win what he deserves.

BEST ROCK ALBUM
» “El Camino” by The Black Keys
» “Mylo Xyloto” by Coldplay
» “The 2nd Law” by Muse
» “Wrecking Ball” by Bruce Springsteen
» “Blunderbuss” by Jack White
Who should win: “Wrecking Ball” or “Blunderbuss.” Both were fantastic and on my best albums list.
Who will win: Jack White will take it. The Black Keys are popular with the Grammy voters, too.

BEST ALTERNATIVE MUSIC ALBUM
“The Idler Wheel…” by Fiona Apple the full title is really long
“Biophilia” by Bjork
“Making Mirros” by Gotye
“Hurry Up, We’re Dreaming.” by M83
“Bad As Me” by Tom Waits
Who should win: Tom Waits, who made a great record, or Gotye, whose album was a lot more than “Somebody I Used to Know.”
Who will win: Everybody loved “The Idler Wheel…”

BEST POP SOLO PERFORMANCE
» “Set Fire to the Rain” (live) by Adele
» “Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)” by Kelly Clarkson
» “Call Me Maybe” by Carly Rae Jepsen
» “Wide Awake” by Katy Perry
» “Where Have You Been” by Rihanna
Who should win: Adele is a great singer, but we’ve heard this one before. Kelly Clarkson, on the other hand, had the best new recording.
Who will win: Adele. Try not to act surprised.

BEST POP DUO/GROUP PERFORMANCE
» “Shake It Out” by Florence & the Machine
» “We Are Young” by Fun. featuring Janelle Monae
» “Somebody That I Used To Know” by Gotye featuring Kimbra
» “Sexy and I Know It” by LMFAO
» “Payphone” by Maroon 5 and Wiz Khalifa
Who should win: LMFAO’s song is entertaining and fun, but nobody seems to like them.
Who will win: Fun. will take home another trophy. Gotye is also a possibility.

BEST POP VOCAL ALBUM
» “Stronger” by Kelly Clarkson
“Ceremonials” by Florence & the Machine
» “Some Nights” by Fun.
» “Overexposed” by Maroon 5
» “The Truth About Love” by Pink
Who should win: Fun. put together an ambitious album.
Who will win: Fun.

BEST RAP PERFORMANCE
» “HYFR (Hell Ya F***ing Right)” by Drake featuring Lil’ Wayne
» “N****s In Paris” by Jay-Z and Kanye West
» “Daughters” by Nas
» “Mercy” by Kanye West featuring Big Sean, Pusha T, 2 Chainz
» “I Do” by Young Jeezy featuring Jay-Z, Andre 3000
Who should win: “N****s In Paris” is one of the best rap songs we’ve heard in awhile, even though it’s more than a year old.
Who will win: “N****s In Paris”

BEST RAP/SUNG COLLABORATION
“Wild Ones” by Flo Rida featuring Sia
“No Church In the Wild” by Jay-Z and Kanye West featuring Frank Ocean, The-Dream
“Tonight (Best You Ever Had)” by John Legend featuring Ludacris
“Cherry Wine” by Nas featuring Amy Winehouse
“Talk That Talk” by Rihanna featuring Jay-Z
Who should win: “No Church In the Wild,” especially with the Frank Ocean and The-Dream collaboration.
Who will win: “Cherry Wine,” especially because of the Amy Winehouse collaboration.

BEST RAP SONG
» “Daughters” by Nas, Ernest Wilson
» “Lotus Flower Bomb” by Wale, S. Joseph Dew, Jerrin Howard, Walker Johnson, Miguel Tontel Pimentel
» “Mercy” by Kanye West, Sean Anderson, Mike Dean, Tauheed Epps, Willie Hansbro, Malik Yusef Jones, Anthony Khan, Stephen Taft, James Thomas, Terrence Thornton, Herbert Turner
» “The Motto” by Drake, Dwayne Carter, Noah “40” Shebib, Tyler Williams
“N****s In Paris” by Jay-Z, Kanye West, Mike Dean, Chauncey Hollis
“Young Wild & Free” by Snoop Dogg, Bruno Mars, Wiz Khalifa, Chris Brody Brown, Phili Lawrence, Ari Levine
Who should win: “Young Wild & Free” is a pretty great jam.
Who will win: “N****s In Paris” will take home its second trophy.

BEST RAP ALBUM
» “Take Care” by Drake
» “Food & Liquor II: The Great American Rap Album, Pt. 1” by Lupe Fiasco
» “Life Is Good” by Nas
» “Undun” by The Roots
“» God Forgives, I Don’t” by Rick Ross
» “Based On A T.R.U. Story” by 2 Chainz
Who should win: Drake’s “Take Care” was great start to finish.
Who will win: Drake. It’s packed with good music and a mix of hip-hop and pop.

BEST COUNTRY SOLO PERFORMANCE
» “Home” by Dierks Bentley
» “Springsteen” by Eric Church
» “Cost of Livin’” by Ronnie Dunn
» “Wanted” by Hunter Hayes
» “Over” by Blake Shelton
» “Blown Away” by Carrie Underwood
Who should win: “Springsteen” is a fun song, and Hunter Hayes delivers a solid performance on “Wanted.”
Who will win: Carrie Underwood.

BEST COUNTRY DUO/GROUP PERFORMANCE
» “Even If It Breaks Your Heart” by Eli Young Band
» “Pontoon” by Little Big Town
» “Safe & Sound” by Taylor Swift, The Civil Wars
» “On the Outskirts of Town” by The Time Jumpers
» “I Just Come Here for the Music” by Don Williams featuring Alison Krauss
Who should win: Taylor Swift and The Civil Wars, although I’d prefer The Civil Wars were nominated on their own.
Who will win: Swift and The Civil Wars.

BEST COUNTRY SONG
» “Blown Away” sung by Carrie Underwood; song by Josh Kear, Chris Tompkins
» “Cost of Livin’” by Ronnie Dunn, Phillip Coleman
» “Even If It Breaks Your Heart” sung by Eli Young Band; song by Will Hoge, Eric Paslay
» “So You Don’t Have to Love Me Anymore” sung by Alan Jackson; song by Jay Knowles, Adam Wright
» “Springsteen” by Eric Church, Jeff Hyde, Ryan Tyndell
Who should win: “Springsteen.”
Who will win: Eric Church wins. His many, many Omaha fans will rejoice.

BEST COUNTRY ALBUM
» “Uncaged” by Zac Brown Band
» “Hunter Hayes” by Hunter Hayes
» “Living For A Song: A Tribute to Hank Cochran” by Jamey Johnson
» “Four the Record” by Miranda Lambert
» “The Time Jumpers” by The Time Jumpers
Who should win: Miranda Lambert.
Who will win: Lambert’s album was really good. Plus, female solo artists tend to take home the trophy in this category time after time.

BEST AMERICANA ALBUM
» “The Carpenter” by The Avett Brothers
» “From the Ground Up” by John Fullbright
» “The Lumineers” by The Lumineers
» “Babel” by Mumford & Sons
» “Slipstream” by Bonnie Raitt
Who should win: The Lumineers came from nowhere. Last year, they played tiny bars and this year they played “Saturday Night Live.” All of it on the backs of a group of folk songs I can’t stop recommending.
Who will win: Bonnie Raitt. She has nine Grammys already, so you know she’s a favorite.

Comments

comments

Powered by Facebook Comments

This entry was posted in Grammy Awards. Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Grammy Predictions: Who should win and who will win

  1. jason says:

    WHAT? No Connor Oberst or Desaparacidos? having read your column a very few times I wouldve thought they were a lock for every award ever given or yet to be given. Face it dude, they SUCK. You need to quit kissing up to them and find real talent to report about. You wouldnt give a crap about them if they were from anywhere else. No more CONNOR is any way shape or form. He is a hack.

  2. Pingback: Review: The Grammy Awards’ best and worst | Rock Candy